Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000146 0.000161 0.000177 0.000195
2026-01-11 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000244
2026-01-18 0.000074 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000182 0.000229 0.000293
2026-01-25 0.000064 0.000083 0.000108 0.000142 0.000188 0.000248 0.000335
2026-02-01 0.000057 0.000077 0.000104 0.000142 0.000195 0.000269 0.000381
2026-02-08 0.000051 0.000071 0.000099 0.000139 0.000199 0.000285 0.000419
2026-02-15 0.000046 0.000066 0.000094 0.000136 0.000201 0.000297 0.000455
2026-02-22 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000137 0.000209 0.000320 0.000507
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000091 0.000140 0.000219 0.000346 0.000568
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000136 0.000219 0.000356 0.000603
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000052 0.000082 0.000132 0.000217 0.000361 0.000631
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000051 0.000080 0.000133 0.000224 0.000383 0.000689
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000134 0.000232 0.000408 0.000758
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000132 0.000235 0.000423 0.000813
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000133 0.000242 0.000448 0.000889
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000131 0.000244 0.000463 0.000947
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000130 0.000249 0.000486 0.001022
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000128 0.000250 0.000499 0.001080
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000249 0.000509 0.001132
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000126 0.000257 0.000538 0.001231
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000129 0.000267 0.000573 0.001351
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000125 0.000266 0.000581 0.001405
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000121 0.000261 0.000583 0.001442